studying stock market trends

March 3, 2014

A variety of daily signals turned bearish today. Trade was essentially sideways after an opening drop and I have not taken a position… yet.

vix3March2014


February 28, 2014

Most signals remain bullish, including the cumulative advance/decline study, but the upward trend of the study is wobbling now.

adv28Feb2014


February 27, 2014

Most daily signals remain bullish, but the SPY/TLT (shares/interest rates) ratio edged to a bearish signal on 26 February. The study anticipated the previous peak 12 days in advance. Historically, the ratio has done a better job of confirming declines than anticipating them. Maybe the ratio’s behavior is changing or maybe it is giving us several week’s notice.

spyTLT27Feb2014


February 26, 2014

Signals remain bullish.

vix26Feb2014


February 25, 2014

Several studies are hinting they may roll over to the downside soon, but the discretionary/staples ratio is clearly bullish.

disc25February2014


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